elliptic-curve-cryptography

4 posts

cloudflare

Why we cannot wait for better post-quantum signature algorithms (opens in new tab)

RSA and elliptic-curve signatures will eventually be vulnerable to sufficiently powerful quantum computers, so organizations cannot delay migration until ideal post-quantum algorithms arrive. ML-KEM already protects much of Cloudflare’s traffic from “harvest now, decrypt later” attacks, while ML-DSA is currently the practical choice for post-quantum signatures despite its larger keys and signatures. Better schemes are being developed, but they will not be standardized and deployable in time for the initial transition. ## The urgency of post-quantum migration - NIST standardized ML-KEM encryption and ML-DSA signatures in 2024 after an eight-year international competition. - Cloudflare reports that most of its traffic already uses ML-KEM. - Post-quantum signatures are still needed to protect authentication systems from quantum-enabled attacks. - Cloudflare aims to be fully post-quantum secure by 2029. - The authors argue that deployment must begin with currently available algorithms: - “You go to war with the algorithms you have, not the ones you wish you had.” - Future signature research remains important because current options have substantial performance, size, and implementation drawbacks. ## Comparing the candidate signature algorithms - The candidates include: - Existing classical algorithms such as RSA and elliptic-curve signatures, which are quantum-vulnerable. - ML-DSA and other already standardized or soon-to-be-standardized post-quantum schemes. - Nine candidates advancing to the third round of NIST’s signatures on-ramp. - Comparisons focus on variants relevant to TLS at the 128-bit security level. - The measurements cover: - Public-key and signature sizes. - Signing and verification speed. - Implementation concerns and side-channel resistance. - Some algorithms have important operational limitations: - FN-DSA and SQIsign are difficult to implement with fast, timing-safe signing. - LMS requires state to be maintained securely between signatures. - Certain SLH-DSA variants are intended for only a limited number of signatures. ## No single post-quantum “all-star” - Ed25519 remains the strongest all-around performer when quantum resistance is ignored. - It offers particularly favorable: - Public-key size. - Signature size. - Signing speed. - Its verification is slower than some alternatives but remains fast enough for most applications. - Post-quantum schemes instead fall into two broad groups: - **Specialists:** Excellent on particular metrics but unsuitable for general use because of other weaknesses. - **Generalists:** More balanced schemes such as ML-DSA, which avoid extreme weaknesses but do not match elliptic curves overall. ## SQIsign: compact signatures with slow signing - SQIsign is attractive for bandwidth-sensitive applications: - 148-byte signatures. - 65-byte public keys. - Smaller than RSA-2048 and close to elliptic-curve sizes. - Its disadvantages include: - High mathematical and implementation complexity. - Slow signing and verification. - Difficulty achieving efficient, timing-side-channel-resistant signing. - Progress since 2024 has significantly simplified SQIsign and improved verification speed. - Secure signing is still unlikely to become fast enough for common online uses such as TLS handshakes. - It may be better suited to offline applications where signing is infrequent and verification matters more, including: - Certificate-authority signatures. - DNSSEC. - SQIsign is based on isogenies, a category that attracted concern after SIKE was catastrophically broken. - The authors distinguish the schemes: - SIKE already had known security concerns and used problematic torsion points. - SQIsign does not use those torsion points. - The best known SQIsign attacks are generic brute-force attacks, resembling attacks against well-chosen elliptic curves. - Isogeny mathematics still has a large attack surface, but the authors consider SQIsign’s security outlook stronger than that of structured multivariate schemes. - The authors see significant promise in SQIsign but caution against standardizing it prematurely. The practical recommendation is to begin the post-quantum transition with ML-DSA rather than waiting for smaller or faster alternatives. New schemes such as SQIsign may eventually serve specialized use cases, but they must undergo further cryptanalysis, standardization, implementation work, and deployment before they can replace today’s available algorithms.

cloudflare

The post-quantum EO is an important milestone. Now it’s time to get to work (opens in new tab)

The post welcomes Executive Order 14409 as a major step toward post-quantum security, setting federal deadlines of 2030 for encryption and 2031 for authentication. It argues that the threat timeline has accelerated and that organizations must begin migration now, especially to prevent “harvest-now-decrypt-later” attacks. Cloudflare views the order as a strong foundation but believes agencies need clearer guidance and a coordinated migration roadmap. ## Federal Post-Quantum Requirements - The order primarily covers: - **High Value Assets (HVAs)**, such as systems containing sensitive employee records, classified intelligence, or federal financial data. - **High impact systems** rated “high” under FIPS 199, where compromise could cause severe harm. - Key deadlines include: - **July 2026:** Agencies name a post-quantum migration lead. - **September 2026:** Agencies inventory HVAs and high-impact systems, create migration plans, and submit them to OMB and the National Cyber Director. - **December 2030:** Key establishment must use post-quantum cryptography. - **December 2031:** Digital signatures and certificates must use post-quantum cryptography. - National Security Systems are excluded from these deadlines and remain on a separate NSA-managed schedule. - The order directly binds federal agencies, not state and local governments, critical infrastructure, academia, or civil society. ## Encryption and Authentication Are Separate Migrations - **Post-quantum encryption** protects key establishment and should begin immediately. - It prevents attackers from collecting encrypted data now and decrypting it after quantum computers become capable of breaking RSA and elliptic-curve cryptography. - This is especially important for government, financial, healthcare, defense, and telecommunications data with long-term value. - **Post-quantum authentication** protects digital signatures, certificates, software signatures, and system access. - It prevents future quantum computers from impersonating servers or forging trusted signatures. - Its primary threat emerges once a cryptographically relevant quantum computer exists. - The order’s 2031 authentication deadline suggests the U.S. government considers an operational quantum computer around that period a meaningful possibility. ## Standardized Cryptography Over Quantum Key Distribution - The order emphasizes NIST-standardized post-quantum algorithms. - The authors support this focus because Quantum Key Distribution requires specialized hardware and dedicated physical links, making it unsuitable for Internet-scale deployment. - Cloudflare reports that more than two-thirds of browser traffic reaching its network already uses post-quantum encryption. - Its Cloudflare One platform supports post-quantum protection across TLS, MASQUE, and IPsec, while broader post-quantum authentication deployment is still beginning. ## Why Authentication Is More Difficult - Post-quantum ML-DSA signatures are larger than traditional signatures, potentially reducing performance in systems such as short-lived TLS connections. - Cloudflare is working with Google Chrome on Merkle Tree Certificates to reduce this TLS overhead. - Authentication requires coordinated upgrades across a larger ecosystem: - Clients and servers - Certificate authorities - Certificate transparency logs - Root stores - Web browsers - By comparison, post-quantum key establishment is already more widely available and easier to deploy incrementally. Organizations should begin with asset inventories, risk assessments, and post-quantum key-establishment upgrades now rather than waiting for the federal deadlines. Authentication migration should also start early because its broader dependency chain and larger signatures make it the more complex transition.

cloudflare

Cloudflare targets 2029 for full post-quantum security (opens in new tab)

Cloudflare is accelerating its post-quantum security timeline and now aims to complete the transition by 2029, including post-quantum authentication. The company argues that recent advances in quantum algorithms, neutral-atom hardware, and error correction could bring “Q-Day”—when quantum computers can break today’s cryptography—as early as 2029–2030. While Cloudflare has largely addressed harvest-now/decrypt-later risks through post-quantum encryption, it now considers authentication the more urgent priority. ## Cloudflare’s Post-Quantum Roadmap - Cloudflare began preparing for post-quantum migration in 2019. - It enabled post-quantum encryption for all websites and APIs in 2022. - More than 65% of human traffic to Cloudflare is now post-quantum encrypted. - The remaining challenge is upgrading authentication, including certificates, signatures, and access credentials. - Cloudflare now targets 2029 for full post-quantum security. ## New Evidence That Q-Day May Arrive Earlier - Google announced a major improvement to an undisclosed quantum algorithm for breaking elliptic-curve cryptography. - Google provided a zero-knowledge proof of the algorithm rather than revealing its details. - Oratomic published estimates for breaking RSA-2048 and P-256 using neutral-atom quantum computers. - Its estimate for P-256 requires only about 10,000 qubits. - Important implementation details were intentionally omitted. - These developments led Google to move its own migration target to 2029. - Google has emphasized quantum-secure authentication, suggesting concern that Q-Day could arrive around 2030. - IBM Quantum Safe’s CTO has said that “moonshot attacks” against valuable targets might be possible as early as 2029. - Public progress estimates may become less reliable because researchers could stop disclosing details that would help adversaries. ## Progress Across Three Quantum-Computing Fronts ### Hardware - Competing approaches include: - Neutral atoms - Superconducting qubits - Ion traps - Photonics - Topological qubits - Most approaches have made substantial progress, although none has yet demonstrated the scalability needed to break deployed cryptography. - Neutral-atom systems appear particularly promising, and it would be risky to assume every competing approach will fail to scale. ### Error Correction - Quantum computers are inherently noisy and require error-correcting codes. - Conventional superconducting systems may need roughly 1,000 physical qubits per logical qubit because of noise and limited connectivity. - Neutral-atom systems offer highly connected, reconfigurable qubits that can use more efficient error-correcting codes. - Oratomic estimates that only about 3–4 physical neutral atoms may be needed per logical qubit. ### Quantum Software - Improvements to quantum algorithms can substantially reduce the resources required to break cryptography. - Google’s work reportedly accelerated attacks against P-256. - Oratomic added architecture-specific optimizations for reconfigurable neutral-atom systems. ## Why Authentication Requires Immediate Attention - Post-quantum encryption primarily protects against harvest-now/decrypt-later attacks: - Attackers collect encrypted traffic today. - They decrypt it later after obtaining a capable quantum computer. - This has been Cloudflare’s main focus since 2022. - Authentication presents a different threat: - Quantum computers could forge signatures, impersonate servers, or create unauthorized credentials. - If Q-Day were decades away, deploying post-quantum authentication would provide little immediate benefit. - If Q-Day could occur within a few years, authentication systems must be migrated before attackers can exploit them. Cloudflare’s recommendation is to treat post-quantum migration as an urgent, multi-year project rather than waiting for quantum computers to become publicly available. Organizations should continue protecting stored data with post-quantum encryption while prioritizing the migration of authentication, certificates, and digital signatures before 2029.

google

Safeguarding cryptocurrency by disclosing quantum vulnerabilities responsibly (opens in new tab)

Google Quantum AI argues that future cryptographically relevant quantum computers could break the elliptic-curve cryptography securing many cryptocurrencies sooner and with fewer resources than previously estimated. Its research presents circuits for attacking 256-bit elliptic-curve discrete logarithms using fewer than 1,200–1,450 logical qubits and 70–90 million Toffoli gates. Google urges cryptocurrency developers to migrate to post-quantum cryptography while disclosing the findings through verifiable zero-knowledge proofs rather than publishing exploitable attack details. ## Updated Quantum Resource Estimates - The relevant threat is Shor’s algorithm running on a large, fault-tolerant quantum computer. - Google developed two circuits for solving ECDLP-256: - Fewer than 1,200 logical qubits and 90 million Toffoli gates. - Fewer than 1,450 logical qubits and 70 million Toffoli gates. - Under assumptions aligned with some superconducting quantum hardware, the attack could require: - Fewer than 500,000 physical qubits. - Only a few minutes of computation. - This represents an estimated 20-fold reduction in physical-qubit requirements compared with earlier estimates. - Google connects the findings to its proposed 2029 timeline for beginning migration to post-quantum cryptography. ## Protecting Cryptocurrencies with PQC - Most blockchains and cryptocurrencies rely on elliptic-curve cryptography for essential security functions. - Post-quantum cryptography offers a practical, established direction for protecting blockchains against quantum attacks. - Migration will take significant time, creating urgency for networks to begin transitioning now. - Short- and long-term recommendations include: - Avoid exposing vulnerable wallet addresses. - Do not reuse vulnerable addresses. - Consider policy responses for abandoned or inaccessible coins. - The post points to existing post-quantum blockchain projects and experimental deployments as evidence that migration is feasible. ## Responsible Disclosure Through Zero-Knowledge Proofs - Public vulnerability disclosure must balance two risks: - Revealing enough information for defenders to respond. - Giving attackers a usable blueprint. - Cryptocurrency disclosure is especially sensitive because fear and unsupported claims can damage public confidence even before a technical attack is possible. - Google says it reduced this risk by clarifying which blockchain components are not vulnerable and emphasizing existing post-quantum progress. - It also published a zero-knowledge proof that allows independent parties to verify the resource estimates without accessing the underlying quantum circuits. - Google encourages other research groups to adopt similarly responsible disclosure practices. ## Outlook for the Cryptocurrency Ecosystem - Google hopes the work will encourage coordinated discussion among quantum researchers, security experts, cryptocurrency developers, and policymakers. - The broader goal is to preserve confidence in blockchain systems while giving them enough time to complete a post-quantum transition. Cryptocurrency projects should begin planning and testing PQC migration now, while avoiding address exposure and reuse in the interim. At the same time, quantum researchers should disclose attack estimates in ways that support verification and defense without unnecessarily enabling exploitation.